Friday, August 17, 2012

Romney vs. Obama: Who should we believe, the pollsters or the bettors?

Hopefully it's the pollsters who have the two currently running neck and neck versus Intrade where Obama has a sizable lead !

These are the current betting odds at Intrade where people put up money and create a market.

The polling data is derived from the "man on the street" where there can be inherent bias in the questions or hesitancy on the part of the answerer to be truthful.

Intrade data:

Rasmussen Polling data:

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