Tuesday, June 19, 2012

"Super" Typhoon Guchol bearing down on Fukushima, a 6.4 magnitude quake 75 miles away and people-eating danger traps in Tokyo!

Projected path of Typhoon Guchol
Is there anything to worry about if "Super" Typhoon Guchol with 150 MPH sustained winds lands a direct hit on the Fukushima nuclear power plant Wednesday? How about if it's merely a tropical storm with sustained winds of only 75 MPH? 

What if the 6.4 magnitude quake June 17th that hit less than 75 miles from Fukushima had been 75 miles closer to the crippled and vulnerable Reactor 4? 

And what if Typhoon Guchol, projected to pass relatively close to Fukushima with sustained somewhere less than 100 MPH, actually does?

Is the plant, and more specifically Reactor 4, in any condition to withstand additional pounding? According to the Japanese government the damaged reactors pose no significant additional risks. Is that the truth or merely rhetoric designed to prevent panic?

From TPC May 22nd:

"...The No. 4 pool is about 100 feet above ground, is structurally damaged and is exposed to the open elements," Alvarez said in his response. "If an earthquake or other event were to cause this pool to drain this could result in a catastrophic radiological fire involving nearly 10 times the amount of Cesium-137 released by the Chernobyl accident."

I know that some readers of TPC may wonder why there seems to be a fascination here about Fukushima and the potential impact any further deterioration at the plant might have, not only on Japan, but the rest of the world as well.

The answer is that this is one of the most important continuing to develop story's out there today that seems to get overlooked and overshadowed by other, more tangible events. Regardless, it's remains one that needs to be monitored and discussed as it has the potential to impact the entire globe.

"Super" Typhoon Guchol

The question is whether Reactor 4, still unstable, could withstand a direct hit from a "Super" Typhoon packing 150 MPH winds? Or would such an impact push the structure to the breaking point unleashing a nuclear spill of epic proportions?

The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) is predicting that Guchol could be over northern Japan by Wednesday morning.

However, if the JMA is as accurate in its forecasting as most meteorologists in the United States are, perhaps there is likely nothing to worry about!

Finally, according to Marketing Japan, because we are all destined to die someday the Japanese people should be more concerned now with the "people-eating danger traps" better known as the Tokyo subway system! He is of course entitled to his opinion! (Update: "On May 21, the Shibuya Fukutoshin subway station was the scene of a knife assault. When the perpetrator was arrested two days later, he reportedly told police he had lost his temper after the man “had bumped into him.” Source)

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