New Hampshire Primary: What are the odds?

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You've heard of the Intrade Prediction Market; Introducing the Irish betting site Paddy Power!

What do people around the rest of the world think about who's going to win the New Hampshire Primary, who will be the Republican nominee for president and who will win the 2012 presidential election?

Then again does it really matter because U.S. citizens can't legally bet there and the Irish can't legally vote here (unless of course they're in Chicago where pretty much anyone can vote early and often).

But, it's always interesting to get an opinion from an uninterested third party.

Paddy Power political odds!

New Hampshire Primary


1/33 Mitt Romney


14/1 Ron Paul


20/1 Rick Santorum


20/1 John Huntsman


50/1 Newt Gingrich


125/1 Rick Perry



New Hampshire without Romney


1/3 Ron Paul


7/2 Rick Santorum


7/2 Jon Huntsman


12/1 Newt Gingrich


100/1 Any Other



Romney vote share in New Hampshire


10/1 Less Than 32%


5/1 32 to 35.99


11/8 36 to 39.99


6/5 40 to 43.99


4/1 44 to 47.99


12/1 48% or more



Republican Presidential Nomination


1/5 Mitt Romney


10/1 Rick Santorum


14/1 Ron Paul


16/1 Newt Gingrich


20/1 John Huntsman


66/1 Rick Perry



Next President (Winning Candidate)


8/11 Barack Obama


7/4 Mitt Romney


20/1 Hillary Clinton


22/1 Ron Paul


25/1 Rick Santorum


33/1 Newt Gingrich


50/1 John Huntsman


125/1 Rick Perry

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Related articles

• New Hampshire primary: what to look out for (newstatesman.com)
• GOP New Hampshire Primary Prediction (carsonjfbruno.wordpress.com)
• 2012 New Hampshire Primary Results, Exit Polls, Live Blog and Streaming Video (rightpundits.com)