Tuesday, January 10, 2012

New Hampshire Primary: What are the odds?

You've heard of the Intrade Prediction Market; Introducing the Irish betting site Paddy Power!

What do people around the rest of the world think about who's going to win the New Hampshire Primary, who will be the Republican nominee for president and who will win the 2012 presidential election?

Then again does it really matter because U.S. citizens can't legally bet there and the Irish can't legally vote here (unless of course they're in Chicago where pretty much anyone can vote early and often).

But, it's always interesting to get an opinion from an uninterested third party.

Paddy Power political odds!

New Hampshire Primary

1/33 Mitt Romney

14/1 Ron Paul

20/1 Rick Santorum

20/1 John Huntsman

50/1 Newt Gingrich

125/1 Rick Perry

New Hampshire without Romney

1/3 Ron Paul

7/2 Rick Santorum

7/2 Jon Huntsman

12/1 Newt Gingrich

100/1 Any Other

Romney vote share in New Hampshire

10/1 Less Than 32%

5/1 32 to 35.99

11/8 36 to 39.99

6/5 40 to 43.99

4/1 44 to 47.99

12/1 48% or more

Republican Presidential Nomination

1/5 Mitt Romney

10/1 Rick Santorum

14/1 Ron Paul

16/1 Newt Gingrich

20/1 John Huntsman

66/1 Rick Perry

Next President (Winning Candidate)

8/11 Barack Obama

7/4 Mitt Romney

20/1 Hillary Clinton

22/1 Ron Paul

25/1 Rick Santorum

33/1 Newt Gingrich

50/1 John Huntsman

125/1 Rick Perry

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  1. what does 8/1 mean ? i don't understand what any of that stand for.

  2. Those are odds. At the racetrack if you bey $2 on a horse to win at 8/1 you would get $16 plus your $2 bet for a total of $18.

    9/1 $18 + $2 = $20
    10/1 $20 + $2 = $22


    Any other questions let me know. I used to spend a lot of time at the racetrack.