Tuesday, January 10, 2012

New Hampshire Primary: What are the odds?



You've heard of the Intrade Prediction Market; Introducing the Irish betting site Paddy Power!

What do people around the rest of the world think about who's going to win the New Hampshire Primary, who will be the Republican nominee for president and who will win the 2012 presidential election?

Then again does it really matter because U.S. citizens can't legally bet there and the Irish can't legally vote here (unless of course they're in Chicago where pretty much anyone can vote early and often).

But, it's always interesting to get an opinion from an uninterested third party.

Paddy Power political odds!

New Hampshire Primary

1/33 Mitt Romney

14/1 Ron Paul

20/1 Rick Santorum

20/1 John Huntsman


50/1 Newt Gingrich

125/1 Rick Perry

New Hampshire without Romney

1/3 Ron Paul


7/2 Rick Santorum


7/2 Jon Huntsman

12/1 Newt Gingrich


100/1 Any Other



Romney vote share in New Hampshire

10/1 Less Than 32%


5/1 32 to 35.99


11/8 36 to 39.99


6/5 40 to 43.99


4/1 44 to 47.99


12/1 48% or more



Republican Presidential Nomination

1/5 Mitt Romney


10/1 Rick Santorum


14/1 Ron Paul


16/1 Newt Gingrich


20/1 John Huntsman


66/1 Rick Perry



Next President (Winning Candidate)


8/11 Barack Obama

7/4 Mitt Romney


20/1 Hillary Clinton


22/1 Ron Paul


25/1 Rick Santorum


33/1 Newt Gingrich


50/1 John Huntsman



125/1 Rick Perry






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2 comments :

  1. what does 8/1 mean ? i don't understand what any of that stand for.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Those are odds. At the racetrack if you bey $2 on a horse to win at 8/1 you would get $16 plus your $2 bet for a total of $18.

    9/1 $18 + $2 = $20
    10/1 $20 + $2 = $22

    etc.

    Any other questions let me know. I used to spend a lot of time at the racetrack.

    ReplyDelete

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