Thursday, July 30, 2009

Why Polling Numbers Say Health Care Reform May In Trouble

Health Care Reform Is "Important" To The Democrats, But What If The Polling Numbers Say Americans Feel Differently?

If polling numbers regarding the faith of the American public in the ability of the government to manage all of our medical care continues to dwindle, will health care remain such a high priority for the Democrats? The fact of the matter is that far less than 50% of those polled feel that their own personal medical situation will improve under the proposed program. That does not bode well for them, particularly with mid-term elections right around the corner.

If the charts below get cut off, please use the Gallup link to view them on their website.

Here is the analysis by Gallup

PRINCETON, NJ -- Forty-four percent of Americans believe a new healthcare reform law would improve medical care in the U.S., contrasted with 26% who say it would improve their personal medical care. Forty-seven percent of Americans believe reform will expand access to healthcare in the U.S., while 21% say it will expand their own access to healthcare.

These results are important because much of the debate on healthcare reform rests on the assumption that it is imperative to fix what is assumed to be a broken healthcare system in the U.S. One aspect of the healthcare debate focuses on the benefits of healthcare reform to the country as a whole, while another addresses the benefits to the average American. Yet the majority of Americans are not sold on the notion that reform would have a positive effect on either.

The wariness with which the public approaches the possible effects of healthcare reform on their personal situations is evident from results showing that more Americans say healthcare would worsen their medical care and reduce their access to healthcare, than say it would have the contrasting, positive effects. These "net negative" results contrast with the net positive perceptions Americans have about the likely impact of healthcare reform on the U.S. more generally -- albeit one that is quite muted.


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